AI Match Insights

FAW Championship Feb 18, 2026

Cwmbran Celtic

Home
VS
19:30

Pontypridd Town

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Cwmbran Celtic Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Pontypridd Town Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 50%
Market 35%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
xG: 0.30 - 0.62
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Pontypridd Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (40%) 0-1 (25%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Cwmbran Celtic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-0
Jan 16 Cwmbran C… vs Cardiff D… 0-1
Jan 10 Cwmbran C… vs Carmarthe… 2-2
Jan 02 Cwmbran C… vs Treowen S… 1-2
Dec 27 Cwmbran C… vs Newport C… 2-2
Nov 29 Cwmbran C… vs Ynyshir A… 1-0
Nov 07 Cwmbran C… vs Pontyprid… 7-0
Oct 31 Cwmbran C… vs Baglan Dr… 0-1
Oct 24 Cwmbran C… vs Ammanford… 2-1
Oct 10 Cwmbran C… vs Caerau (E… 0-2
Pontypridd Town Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Pontyprid… vs Afan Lido 2-0
Jan 09 Pontyprid… vs Ammanford… 0-3
Jan 01 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 1-0
Dec 26 Pontyprid… vs Aberystwy… 0-1
Dec 13 Pontyprid… vs Colwyn Bay 0-3
Dec 05 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 0-0
Nov 28 Pontyprid… vs Trethomas… 2-1
Nov 22 Pontyprid… vs Treowen S… 1-1
Nov 15 Pontyprid… vs Afan Lido 2-2
Nov 07 Pontyprid… vs Cwmbran C… 7-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Pontypridd Town struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 07, 2025 Pontypridd Town 7 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Jul 18, 2025 Pontypridd Town 0 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Mar 01, 2025 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 1 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Oct 11, 2024 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Oct 02, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Aug 24, 2021 Pontypridd Town 3 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 07, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town League Cup
Dec 12, 2020 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cwmbran Celtic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Pontypridd Town Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.