AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Dec 26, 2024

Heart of Midlothian

Home
VS
12:30

Hibernian

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Heart of Midlothian Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Hibernian Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.92 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Hibernian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Heart of Midlothian Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 15 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 1-0
Dec 07 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Nov 23 Heart of … vs Celtic 1-4
Nov 10 Heart of … vs Rangers FC 1-0
Oct 30 Heart of … vs Kilmarnock 1-2
Oct 27 Heart of … vs Hibernian 1-1
Oct 19 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 4-0
Sep 21 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 2-1
Sep 14 Heart of … vs Celtic 2-0
Sep 01 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 0-1
Hibernian Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Hibernian vs Aberdeen 1-3
Nov 30 Hibernian vs Motherwell 0-3
Nov 26 Hibernian vs Aberdeen 3-3
Nov 23 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 4-1
Nov 03 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Oct 27 Hibernian vs Heart of … 1-1
Oct 19 Hibernian vs Dundee Utd 3-2
Oct 05 Hibernian vs Motherwell 1-2
Sep 29 Hibernian vs Rangers FC 1-0
Sep 01 Hibernian vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heart of Midlothian struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Hibernian 1 - 1 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Feb 28, 2024 Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 Hibernian Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 1 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Oct 07, 2023 Heart of Midlothian 2 - 2 Hibernian Premiership
May 27, 2023 Heart of Midlothian 1 - 1 Hibernian Premiership
Apr 15, 2023 Hibernian 1 - 0 Heart of Midlothian Premiership
Jan 22, 2023 Hibernian 0 - 3 Heart of Midlothian FA Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Heart of Midlothian to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Hibernian Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Heart of Midlothian Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Hibernian Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.