AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Jan 02, 2026

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
17:30

Al-Nassr

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Al-Nassr Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.44 - 1.67
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 30 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fayha … 2-0
Dec 26 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 2-1
Dec 22 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 0-5
Dec 22 Al-Ahli S… vs Sharjah FC 0-1
Nov 28 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 3-3
Nov 25 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Shorta… 4-0
Nov 24 Al-Ahli S… vs Sharjah FC 0-1
Nov 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 2-1
Nov 08 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ittiha… 0-1
Nov 04 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC 1-2
Al-Nassr Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 30 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-2
Dec 27 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-0
Dec 24 Al-Nassr vs Al Zawra'a 5-1
Nov 26 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 0-4
Nov 23 Al-Nassr vs Al Khalee… 4-1
Nov 08 Al-Nassr vs Al Suqoor 1-3
Nov 05 Al-Nassr vs Goa 4-0
Nov 01 Al-Nassr vs Al-Fayha … 2-1
Oct 28 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 1-2
Oct 25 Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazem 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ahli Saudi in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Al-Nassr 2 - 2 Al-Ahli Saudi Super Cup
Apr 04, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 3 Al-Nassr Pro League
Feb 13, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 3 Al-Nassr Pro League
Nov 01, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Sep 13, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 4 Al-Ahli Saudi Super Cup
May 31, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 1 Al-Nassr King's Cup
May 17, 2024 Al-Nassr 1 - 1 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Apr 08, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 2 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Mar 15, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 0 - 1 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al-Nassr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Al-Ahli Saudi Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Al-Nassr Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.