AI Match Insights

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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Jun 07, 2022

Zambia

Home
VS
16:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 54.3% Confidence
Zambia Win
54.3%
Draw
23.1%
Como Win
22.5%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.00 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zambia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Zambia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 14 Zambia vs South Afr… 0-0
Jan 31 Zambia vs Morocco 3-1
Oct 11 Zambia vs South Afr… 1-2
Como Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Como vs Pisa 3-1
Feb 05 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Jan 14 Como vs Morocco 2-0
Dec 05 Como vs Pisa 0-1
Aug 29 Como vs Lecce 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Como struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Como to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zambia Power 0
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.