Premier League · Jan 22, 2026 10:00
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
Dire Dawa Kenema
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Ethiopian Medhin
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Dire Dawa Kenema to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dire Dawa Kene…
WLDDD
STABLE
Ethiopian Medh…
DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Dire Dawa Kene…vs
2.23
Ethiopian Medh…Goal Probability
Dire Dawa K…
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Ethiopian M…
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (29%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Dire Dawa K…+5
Gap#16
Ethiopian M…
WR 25% 28 pts
WR 27% 25 pts
Dire Dawa Kene…
10.0%
| Jan 21 | Dire Da… v Ethiopi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Dire Da… v Kedus G… | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Dire Da… v Sidama … | 2-2 |
| Jan 09 | Dire Da… v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Jan 08 | Dire Da… v Welwalo… | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Dire Da… v Bahardar | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Dire Da… v Fasil K… | 0-0 |
| Dec 30 | Dire Da… v Negelle… | 0-3 |
| Dec 30 | Dire Da… v Suhul S… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Dire Da… v Mekelak… | 1-3 |
Ethiopian Medh…
8.0%
| Jan 15 | Ethiopi… v Welwalo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ethiopi… v Welayta… | 1-2 |
| Jan 05 | Ethiopi… v Mekelle… | 0-1 |
| Dec 31 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Ethiopi… v Sidama … | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ethiopi… v Awassa … | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Ethiopi… v Mebrat … | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Ethiopi… v Bahardar | 1-0 |
| Nov 25 | Ethiopi… v Negelle… | 0-1 |
| Nov 21 | Ethiopi… v Ethiopi… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 20, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-0 | Ethiopian Med… |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Ethiopian Med… | 3-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Mar 07, 2025 | Ethiopian Med… | 1-0 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-3 | Ethiopian Med… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-2 | Ethiopian Med… |
| May 23, 2024 | Ethiopian Med… | 4-1 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| May 17, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 0-5 | Ethiopian Med… |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 2-2 | Ethiopian Med… |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Ethiopian Med… | 1-2 | Dire Dawa Ken… |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Dire Dawa Ken… | 3-0 | Ethiopian Med… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.