Premier League · Jan 22, 2026 13:00
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
Mekelakeya
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Kedus Giorgis
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Mekelakeya to win (84% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
84%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (28%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)
WRONG 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mekelakeya
WLLLW
STABLE
Kedus Giorgis
WLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateH2H: 6/8 draws (75%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Mekelakeyavs
0.48
Kedus GiorgisGoal Probability
Mekelakeya
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Kedus Giorg…
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Mekelakeya+13
Gap#17
Kedus Giorg…
WR 25% 35 pts
WR 25% 25 pts
Mekelakeya
8.0%
| Jan 17 | Mekelak… v Arba Mi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Mekelak… v Bahardar | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Mekelak… v Negelle… | 2-0 |
| Dec 31 | Mekelak… v Ethiopi… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Mekelak… v Dire Da… | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Mekelak… v Mebrat … | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Mekelak… v Awassa … | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | Mekelak… v Dire Da… | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Mekelak… v Sidama … | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Mekelak… v Suhul S… | 2-2 |
Kedus Giorgis
10.0%
| Jan 17 | Kedus G… v Dire Da… | 4-0 |
| Jan 09 | Kedus G… v Awassa … | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Kedus G… v Welayta… | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Kedus G… v Mekelle… | 1-1 |
| Dec 25 | Kedus G… v Ethiopi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Kedus G… v Sidama … | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Kedus G… v Dire Da… | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Kedus G… v Arba Mi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Kedus G… v Mebrat … | 1-0 |
| Nov 21 | Kedus G… v Hadiya … | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Jun 22, 2025 | Kedus Giorgis | 1-1 | Mekelakeya |
| Dec 03, 2024 | Mekelakeya | 4-3 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Mekelakeya | 0-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Jan 04, 2024 | Kedus Giorgis | 1-1 | Mekelakeya |
| May 11, 2023 | Mekelakeya | 1-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Kedus Giorgis | 0-0 | Mekelakeya |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Kedus Giorgis | 0-0 | Mekelakeya |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Mekelakeya | 0-0 | Kedus Giorgis |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mekelakeya struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.