AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jan 17, 2022

Bologna

Home
VS
17:30

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Napoli Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.44 - 1.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Bologna Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Bologna vs Sassuolo 0-3
Dec 18 Bologna vs Juventus 0-2
Dec 05 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-3
Oct 28 Bologna vs Napoli 3-0
Oct 23 Bologna vs AC Milan 2-4
Oct 17 Bologna vs Udinese 1-1
Oct 03 Bologna vs Lazio 3-0
Sep 21 Bologna vs Genoa 2-2
Sep 18 Bologna vs Inter 6-1
Sep 13 Bologna vs Verona 1-0
Napoli Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 13 Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-5
Jan 06 Napoli vs Juventus 1-1
Dec 04 Napoli vs Atalanta 2-3
Dec 01 Napoli vs Sassuolo 2-2
Nov 28 Napoli vs Lazio 4-0
Nov 21 Napoli vs Inter 3-2
Nov 07 Napoli vs Verona 1-1
Oct 28 Napoli vs Bologna 3-0
Oct 24 Napoli vs AS Roma 0-0
Sep 26 Napoli vs Cagliari 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bologna struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.