AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Dec 17, 2023

Pafos FC

Home
VS
16:00

Apoel Nicosia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Pafos FC Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Apoel Nicosia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.80 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Pafos FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 11 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 1-4
Sep 17 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
May 01 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 2-1
Mar 07 Pafos FC vs Olympiako… 1-1
Jan 17 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 3-1
Jan 13 Pafos FC vs Enosis 0-2
Dec 23 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 5-2
Dec 03 Pafos FC vs Olympiako… 1-1
Oct 08 Pafos FC vs Enosis 3-0
Sep 10 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 0-4
Apoel Nicosia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 1-0
Sep 23 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 1-1
Sep 17 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 1-1
May 27 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 4-3
May 21 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 3-2
Apr 23 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 0-0
Apr 10 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 0-2
Feb 11 Apoel Nic… vs Enosis 1-2
Jan 22 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 2-0
Jan 03 Apoel Nic… vs Olympiako… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pafos FC Power 0
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pafos FC Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Apoel Nicosia Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.