AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Nov 23, 2024

Pafos FC

Home
VS
15:00

Apoel Nicosia

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Pafos FC Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Apoel Nicosia Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 47%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.69 - 1.03
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Pafos FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 0-1
Nov 03 Pafos FC vs Omonia Ar… 4-0
Oct 06 Pafos FC vs Enosis 1-2
Sep 29 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Sep 25 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-0
Sep 14 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 3-1
Sep 01 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 0-2
Apr 28 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Apr 21 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 5-1
Apr 17 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Apoel Nicosia Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 0-0
Oct 28 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 2-0
Oct 19 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ar… 0-5
Sep 25 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 1-0
Sep 18 Apoel Nic… vs Enosis 0-4
Apr 28 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Apr 21 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 2-0
Apr 14 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 0-2
Apr 07 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 0-2
Mar 16 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Apoel Nicosia in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 25, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 0 Pafos FC Super Cup
Apr 14, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 2 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Mar 03, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Dec 17, 2023 Pafos FC 0 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pafos FC Power 0
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pafos FC Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Apoel Nicosia Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.