AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Pro Aug 19, 2023

FC Barcelona

Home
VS
01:00

Independiente del Valle

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Barcelona Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Independiente del Valle Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.68 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Independiente del Valle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
FC Barcelona Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 18 FC Barcel… vs Universid… 1-2
May 20 FC Barcel… vs Real Soci… 1-2
May 20 FC Barcel… vs Orense SC 2-0
May 13 FC Barcel… vs Libertad … 2-2
May 02 FC Barcel… vs Osasuna 1-0
Apr 29 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 4-0
Apr 23 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 1-0
Apr 01 FC Barcel… vs Elche 0-4
Mar 19 FC Barcel… vs Independi… 1-0
Mar 12 FC Barcel… vs Athletic … 0-1
Independiente del Valle Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 Independi… vs LDU Quito 2-3
Apr 15 Independi… vs Libertad … 0-0
Mar 31 Independi… vs Universid… 2-3
Mar 19 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 1-0
Jul 31 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Independiente del V… 1 - 0 FC Barcelona Liga Pro
Jul 31, 2022 Independiente del V… 1 - 1 FC Barcelona Liga Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Barcelona to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Barcelona Power 0
Independiente del Valle Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.