AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. Lig Jan 19, 2026

76 Iğdır Belediyespor

Home
VS
11:30

Sakaryaspor

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sakaryaspor Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sakaryaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 76 Iğdır … vs İçel İdma… 1-8
Jan 15 76 Iğdır … vs Eyüpspor 2-1
Jan 11 76 Iğdır … vs Hekimoğlu… 1-1
Jan 11 76 Iğdır … vs Sarıyer 1-0
Dec 28 76 Iğdır … vs Amed 3-0
Dec 24 76 Iğdır … vs Aliağa FAŞ 2-2
Dec 21 76 Iğdır … vs Yeni Mala… 3-0
Dec 20 76 Iğdır … vs Sivasspor 1-1
Dec 16 76 Iğdır … vs Aliağa FAŞ 1-1
Dec 14 76 Iğdır … vs Pendikspor 1-1
Sakaryaspor Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Sakaryasp… vs Bandırmas… 1-1
Dec 26 Sakaryasp… vs Manisa FK 0-2
Dec 21 Sakaryasp… vs Yeni Çoru… 2-0
Dec 15 Sakaryasp… vs Hatayspor 3-0
Dec 06 Sakaryasp… vs Erokspor 4-1
Dec 02 Sakaryasp… vs Genclerbi… 0-5
Nov 29 Sakaryasp… vs Ümraniyes… 1-1
Nov 22 Sakaryasp… vs İstanbuls… 3-3
Nov 08 Sakaryasp… vs Serik Bel… 2-3
Nov 02 Sakaryasp… vs Van BB 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • 76 Iğdır Belediyespor struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Sakaryaspor struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2025 Sakaryaspor 3 - 2 76 Iğdır Belediyesp… 1. Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: 76 Iğdır Belediyespor to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 90
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Power 0
Sakaryaspor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

76 Iğdır Belediyespor Position

+9

Position Gap

18

Sakaryaspor Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.