AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Jan 17, 2026

RB Leipzig

Home
VS
17:30

Bayern Munich

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
RB Leipzig Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Bayern Munich Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 42%
Market 35%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 32%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
xG: 2.31 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.5 Asian Handicap: Away -1.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Leipzig Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
RB Leipzig Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 RB Leipzig vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Dec 20 RB Leipzig vs Bayer Lev… 1-3
Dec 12 RB Leipzig vs Union Ber… 3-1
Dec 06 RB Leipzig vs Eintracht… 6-0
Dec 02 RB Leipzig vs FC Augsbu… 3-1
Nov 28 RB Leipzig vs Borussia … 0-0
Nov 23 RB Leipzig vs Werder Br… 2-0
Nov 08 RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoff… 3-1
Nov 01 RB Leipzig vs VfB Stutt… 3-1
Oct 28 RB Leipzig vs Energie C… 1-4
Bayern Munich Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Bayern Mu… vs FC Koln 1-3
Jan 11 Bayern Mu… vs VfL Wolfs… 8-1
Jan 06 Bayern Mu… vs RB Salzbu… 0-5
Dec 21 Bayern Mu… vs FC Heiden… 0-4
Dec 14 Bayern Mu… vs FSV Mainz… 2-2
Dec 09 Bayern Mu… vs Sporting … 3-1
Dec 06 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 0-5
Dec 03 Bayern Mu… vs Union Ber… 2-3
Nov 29 Bayern Mu… vs FC St. Pa… 3-1
Nov 26 Bayern Mu… vs Arsenal 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Leipzig in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 22, 2025 Bayern Munich 6 - 0 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
May 03, 2025 RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024 Bayern Munich 5 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2024 Bayern Munich 5 - 1 RB Leipzig Pro League
Feb 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2024 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig Pro League
Sep 30, 2023 RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023 Bayern Munich 0 - 3 RB Leipzig Super Cup
May 20, 2023 Bayern Munich 1 - 3 RB Leipzig Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2023 RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Bayern Munich Bundesliga
Final Verdict

PRO: Bayern Munich to win (67% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 0-1 67% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Leipzig Power 41
Bayern Munich Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

RB Leipzig Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Bayern Munich Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.