AI Match Insights

League Two Sep 17, 2024

Elgin City

Home
VS
18:45

Spartans

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Elgin City Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Spartans Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.07 - 2.57
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-3 (6%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Elgin City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Elgin City vs Kelty Hea… 3-1
Aug 31 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Aug 24 Elgin City vs Stranraer 1-1
Aug 13 Elgin City vs Banks O' … 2-1
Aug 10 Elgin City vs Stirling … 0-1
Aug 03 Elgin City vs East Fife 4-2
May 04 Elgin City vs Clyde 0-3
Apr 27 Elgin City vs Dumbarton 2-2
Apr 06 Elgin City vs Spartans 2-2
Mar 30 Elgin City vs East Fife 2-0
Spartans Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Sep 07 Spartans vs Livingston 0-2
Aug 31 Spartans vs Stirling … 1-0
Aug 10 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 2-0
Aug 03 Spartans vs Stranraer 2-2
Jul 23 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Jul 06 Spartans vs Montrose 2-2
May 17 Spartans vs Dumbarton 2-2
May 14 Spartans vs Dumbarton 2-1
May 11 Spartans vs Peterhead 1-5
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 06, 2024 Elgin City 2 - 2 Spartans League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Spartans 1 - 2 Elgin City League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Elgin City 0 - 4 Spartans League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elgin City Power 0
Spartans Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Elgin City Position

-8

Position Gap

1

Spartans Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.