AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 19, 2024

Spartans

Home
VS
14:00

Elgin City

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Spartans Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Elgin City Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.83 - 0.41
Key Insights
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (24%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Spartans Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Spartans vs Edinburgh… 2-0
Oct 05 Spartans vs Clyde 1-1
Sep 17 Spartans vs Elgin City 1-1
Sep 14 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Sep 07 Spartans vs Livingston 0-2
Aug 31 Spartans vs Stirling … 1-0
Aug 10 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 2-0
Aug 03 Spartans vs Stranraer 2-2
Jul 23 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Jul 06 Spartans vs Montrose 2-2
Elgin City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Elgin City vs Edinburgh… 3-3
Sep 21 Elgin City vs Clyde 0-0
Sep 17 Elgin City vs Spartans 1-1
Sep 07 Elgin City vs Kelty Hea… 3-1
Aug 31 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Aug 24 Elgin City vs Stranraer 1-1
Aug 13 Elgin City vs Banks O' … 2-1
Aug 10 Elgin City vs Stirling … 0-1
Aug 03 Elgin City vs East Fife 4-2
May 04 Elgin City vs Clyde 0-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2024 Elgin City 1 - 1 Spartans League Two
Apr 06, 2024 Elgin City 2 - 2 Spartans League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Spartans 1 - 2 Elgin City League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Elgin City 0 - 4 Spartans League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spartans to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spartans Power 0
Elgin City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Spartans Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Elgin City Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.