AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 22, 2025

Spartans

Home
VS
15:00

Elgin City

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Spartans Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Elgin City Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.15 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Spartans Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Elgin City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Spartans Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Mar 11 Spartans vs Elgin City 0-2
Mar 08 Spartans vs Stirling … 0-0
Mar 01 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 3-1
Feb 25 Spartans vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Feb 22 Spartans vs Clyde 0-2
Feb 15 Spartans vs Edinburgh… 5-0
Feb 04 Spartans vs Stirling … 1-3
Feb 01 Spartans vs Stranraer 2-0
Jan 21 Spartans vs Bonnyrigg… 2-2
Elgin City Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Elgin City vs Clyde 2-0
Mar 11 Elgin City vs Spartans 0-2
Mar 08 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 0-1
Feb 22 Elgin City vs Edinburgh… 1-2
Feb 15 Elgin City vs Stranraer 1-0
Feb 08 Elgin City vs Stirling … 3-1
Feb 01 Elgin City vs East Fife 1-0
Jan 25 Elgin City vs Clyde 0-0
Jan 18 Elgin City vs Aberdeen 0-3
Jan 11 Elgin City vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Spartans in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Elgin City struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2025 Elgin City 0 - 2 Spartans League Two
Oct 19, 2024 Spartans 1 - 3 Elgin City League Two
Sep 17, 2024 Elgin City 1 - 1 Spartans League Two
Apr 06, 2024 Elgin City 2 - 2 Spartans League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Spartans 1 - 2 Elgin City League Two
Dec 16, 2023 Elgin City 0 - 4 Spartans League Two
Aug 19, 2023 Spartans 2 - 1 Elgin City League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Spartans to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Spartans Power 0
Elgin City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Spartans Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Elgin City Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.