Ligat Ha'al · Sep 26, 2023 17:30

Hapoel Tel Aviv
PWR 35
0 - 5
FT

Maccabi Tel Aviv
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Hapoel Tel Aviv to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-5
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv Form DWDLD
STABLE
Maccabi Tel Av… Form WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS51%
Under 2.550%
Hapoel Tel … Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Maccabi Tel… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Hapoel Tel Aviv
vs
1.76
Maccabi Tel Av…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings62%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Hapoel Tel …
+1
Gap
#4
Maccabi Tel…
WR 91% 41 pts WR 55% 39 pts
Hapoel Tel Aviv 10.0%
Sep 18 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 0-0
Sep 02 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-0
Aug 26 Hapoel … v Bnei Sa… 1-1
Aug 08 Hapoel … v Ashdod 1-0
Aug 05 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 1-1
May 06 Hapoel … v Ironi K… 2-2
Apr 30 Hapoel … v Bnei Sa… 0-1
Apr 15 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 1-0
Mar 18 Hapoel … v Beitar … 2-1
Mar 13 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-1
Maccabi Tel Av… 16.0%
Sep 23 Maccabi… v Beitar … 2-1
Sep 17 Maccabi… v Maccabi… 1-1
Sep 02 Maccabi… v Hapoel … 1-1
Aug 27 Maccabi… v Ashdod 4-1
Aug 21 Maccabi… v Hapoel … 2-1
Aug 20 Maccabi… v Bnei Sa… 1-5
Aug 09 Maccabi… v Bnei Sa… 1-2
Aug 05 Maccabi… v Hapoel … 1-1
Jul 20 Maccabi… v Hapoel … 1-6
May 20 Maccabi… v Ashdod 1-2
Head-to-Head (7)
Jan 28, 2023 Hapoel Tel Av… 0-0 Maccabi Tel A…
Oct 10, 2022 Maccabi Tel A… 3-0 Hapoel Tel Av…
May 21, 2022 Hapoel Tel Av… 0-2 Maccabi Tel A…
Apr 25, 2022 Maccabi Tel A… 5-0 Hapoel Tel Av…
Feb 12, 2022 Hapoel Tel Av… 2-3 Maccabi Tel A…
Nov 07, 2021 Maccabi Tel A… 1-1 Hapoel Tel Av…
Jun 02, 2021 Maccabi Tel A… 2-1 Hapoel Tel Av…
Key Factors
Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.