AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Sep 28, 2024

Inverness CT

Home
VS
14:00

Stenhousemuir

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Inverness CT Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Stenhousemuir Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Inverness CT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Inverness CT Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Inverness… vs Rangers FC 1-1
Sep 14 Inverness… vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Sep 07 Inverness… vs Stirling … 3-0
Aug 31 Inverness… vs Queen of … 1-0
Aug 17 Inverness… vs Montrose 1-1
Aug 03 Inverness… vs Dumbarton 1-1
May 18 Inverness… vs Hamilton … 2-3
May 15 Inverness… vs Hamilton … 2-1
May 11 Inverness… vs Montrose 1-0
May 07 Inverness… vs Montrose 0-0
Stenhousemuir Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 0-0
Sep 14 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-0
Sep 07 Stenhouse… vs Falkirk 1-1
Aug 31 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 5-1
Aug 17 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Aug 10 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 2-0
Apr 06 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 0-0
Mar 30 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 0-0
Mar 23 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 0-0
Feb 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Inverness CT to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Inverness CT Power 0
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Inverness CT Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Stenhousemuir Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.