AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Mar 05, 2022

APR

Home
VS
13:00

Gasogi United

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
APR Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Gasogi United Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.40 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Gasogi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
APR Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 APR vs Etincelles 2-0
Feb 16 APR vs Musanze 1-0
Jan 28 APR vs Police 2-1
Jan 22 APR vs AS Kigali 0-0
Jan 19 APR vs Gorilla 1-0
Dec 26 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-2
Dec 18 APR vs Marines 1-2
Dec 12 APR vs Bugesera 2-1
Dec 09 APR vs Etincelles 0-0
Nov 03 APR vs Musanze 2-0
Gasogi United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Gasogi Un… vs Marines 3-2
Jan 20 Gasogi Un… vs Musanze 1-0
Dec 29 Gasogi Un… vs Police 3-2
Dec 26 Gasogi Un… vs APR 0-2
Dec 23 Gasogi Un… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Dec 17 Gasogi Un… vs Gorilla 0-1
Dec 12 Gasogi Un… vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Oct 30 Gasogi Un… vs Marines 0-1
Jun 28 Gasogi Un… vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-0
May 26 Gasogi Un… vs Gorilla 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • APR in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Gasogi United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 26, 2021 Gasogi United 0 - 2 APR National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: APR to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
APR Power 0
Gasogi United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

APR Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Gasogi United Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.