AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Dec 05, 2023

APR

Home
VS
16:00

Gasogi United

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
APR Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Gasogi United Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.11 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Gasogi United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
APR Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 APR vs AS Kigali 1-1
Oct 22 APR vs Etincelles 0-3
Oct 10 APR vs Bugesera 1-1
Oct 06 APR vs Musanze 2-1
Sep 23 APR vs Marines 2-2
Aug 28 APR vs Police 1-0
May 28 APR vs Gorilla 1-2
Apr 29 APR vs AS Kigali 0-0
Apr 22 APR vs Police 2-1
Apr 15 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-0
Gasogi United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 26 Gasogi Un… vs Musanze 2-0
Oct 28 Gasogi Un… vs Police 0-1
Oct 21 Gasogi Un… vs Marines 0-1
Oct 14 Gasogi Un… vs Amagaju 0-1
Oct 10 Gasogi Un… vs Gorilla 2-2
Sep 15 Gasogi Un… vs Kiyovu Sp… 1-1
Sep 02 Gasogi Un… vs AS Kigali 1-2
May 20 Gasogi Un… vs Police 2-2
May 06 Gasogi Un… vs AS Kigali 2-1
Apr 30 Gasogi Un… vs Marines 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2023 APR 0 - 0 Gasogi United National Socce…
Dec 02, 2022 Gasogi United 0 - 0 APR National Socce…
Mar 05, 2022 APR 2 - 0 Gasogi United National Socce…
Dec 26, 2021 Gasogi United 0 - 2 APR National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: APR to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
APR Power 0
Gasogi United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

APR Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Gasogi United Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.