AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Apr 06, 2024

Larne

Home
VS
14:00

Crusaders FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Larne Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Crusaders FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Larne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Crusaders FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Larne Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Mar 30 Larne vs Cliftonvi… 2-0
Mar 16 Larne vs Glentoran 6-1
Mar 09 Larne vs Coleraine… 0-0
Feb 23 Larne vs Glentoran 3-0
Feb 17 Larne vs Ballymena… 0-1
Feb 03 Larne vs Glentoran 5-0
Jan 20 Larne vs Dungannon… 0-2
Jan 12 Larne vs Crusaders… 0-2
Dec 30 Larne vs Linfield 1-1
Crusaders FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Crusaders… vs Coleraine… 1-1
Mar 09 Crusaders… vs Ballymena… 2-4
Feb 24 Crusaders… vs Glentoran 2-0
Feb 10 Crusaders… vs Dungannon… 2-2
Jan 27 Crusaders… vs Glentoran 1-2
Jan 20 Crusaders… vs Linfield 1-0
Jan 12 Crusaders… vs Larne 0-2
Jan 02 Crusaders… vs Linfield 0-1
Dec 30 Crusaders… vs Carrick R… 2-0
Dec 26 Crusaders… vs Cliftonvi… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2024 Crusaders FC 0 - 2 Larne Premiership
Dec 15, 2023 Crusaders FC 0 - 3 Larne Premiership
Oct 06, 2023 Larne 1 - 1 Crusaders FC Premiership
Jul 01, 2023 Larne 0 - 2 Crusaders FC Charity Shield
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Larne to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larne Power 0
Crusaders FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Larne Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Crusaders FC Position
Home Win Rate: 77%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.