AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 13, 2024

Portadown

Home
VS
18:45

Dungannon Swifts

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Portadown Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Dungannon Swifts Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 3.86 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Portadown Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Dungannon Swifts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Portadown Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Portadown vs Carrick R… 0-1
Aug 17 Portadown vs Glentoran 1-2
Aug 11 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 1-0
Apr 06 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 2-4
Apr 02 Portadown vs Bangor 0-3
Mar 22 Portadown vs Bangor 2-1
Mar 01 Portadown vs Cliftonvi… 0-2
Feb 10 Portadown vs Annagh Un… 2-2
Feb 03 Portadown vs Bangor 2-1
Jan 06 Portadown vs Carrick R… 1-1
Dungannon Swifts Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 1-0
Aug 24 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 1-0
Aug 17 Dungannon… vs Linfield 3-1
Apr 27 Dungannon… vs Ballymena… 3-0
Apr 20 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 2-0
Apr 06 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 3-2
Mar 16 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 0-3
Mar 09 Dungannon… vs Glentoran 4-0
Feb 17 Dungannon… vs Carrick R… 2-1
Feb 10 Dungannon… vs Crusaders… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dungannon Swifts in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Portadown struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 18, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 1 - 2 Portadown Friendlies Clu…
Apr 22, 2023 Dungannon Swifts 3 - 2 Portadown Premiership
Feb 24, 2023 Portadown 3 - 1 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Jan 02, 2023 Portadown 0 - 0 Dungannon Swifts Premiership
Oct 04, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 1 Portadown League Cup
Sep 23, 2022 Dungannon Swifts 2 - 0 Portadown Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portadown Power 0
Dungannon Swifts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Portadown Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Dungannon Swifts Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 39%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.