AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jul 10, 2024

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
22:00

Corinthians

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Corinthians Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.93 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.3
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Corinthians Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Vasco DA Gama Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Vasco DA … vs Internaci… 1-2
Jun 29 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 1-1
Jun 02 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-6
May 22 Vasco DA … vs Fortaleza 3-3
Apr 20 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-1
Apr 18 Vasco DA … vs Humaitá 1-1
Apr 15 Vasco DA … vs Rio Branc… 3-3
Apr 14 Vasco DA … vs Remo 2-1
Mar 19 Vasco DA … vs ADESG 2-1
Mar 17 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 1-0
Corinthians Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 07 Corinthia… vs Paysandu … 1-1
Jul 07 Corinthia… vs Cruzeiro 3-0
Jun 17 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 4-2
Jun 16 Corinthia… vs São Paulo… 2-2
Jun 09 Corinthia… vs Palmeiras 0-1
Jun 02 Corinthia… vs Botafogo 0-1
May 22 Corinthia… vs América-RN 2-1
May 11 Corinthia… vs Flamengo 2-0
May 05 Corinthia… vs Fortaleza 0-0
Apr 20 Corinthia… vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 29, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 4 Corinthians Serie A
Jul 29, 2023 Corinthians 3 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Feb 21, 2021 Corinthians 0 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Oct 22, 2020 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 2 Corinthians Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vasco DA Gama to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Corinthians Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Vasco DA Gama Position

+1

Position Gap

18

Corinthians Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.