AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Sep 01, 2024

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
22:00

Deportivo Saprissa

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Deportivo Saprissa Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.29 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
LD Alajuelense Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
Aug 11 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 2-1
Aug 04 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-1
Jul 25 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-2
Jul 18 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-3
Apr 14 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 0-1
Apr 06 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Apr 01 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 1-1
Mar 27 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 0-4
Feb 21 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 3-2
Deportivo Saprissa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Aug 22 Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… 0-2
Aug 18 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 1-0
Aug 12 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Aug 09 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 1-1
Aug 03 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 2-2
Jul 28 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 2-3
Jul 21 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 3-1
Jul 18 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 1-3
May 05 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Deportivo Saprissa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 18, 2024 Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 3 LD Alajuelense Recopa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Deportivo Saprissa Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.