AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Apr 22, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
02:00

Deportivo Saprissa

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Deportivo Saprissa Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.28 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
LD Alajuelense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 1-2
Mar 28 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
Mar 16 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 1-1
Feb 09 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 1-1
Feb 03 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Jan 30 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-0
Jan 27 LD Alajue… vs Perez Zel… 0-0
Jan 15 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-3
Nov 03 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 3-0
Oct 27 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 3-1
Deportivo Saprissa Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 1-2
Apr 06 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-1
Apr 03 Deportivo… vs AD Cofutpa 2-3
Mar 30 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 1-0
Mar 29 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 1-4
Mar 19 Deportivo… vs ADR Jicar… 1-1
Mar 16 Deportivo… vs Quepos Ca… 2-5
Mar 16 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 1-1
Mar 08 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 0-7
Mar 03 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Saprissa in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 09, 2025 Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 1 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Nov 03, 2024 Deportivo Saprissa 3 - 0 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Sep 01, 2024 LD Alajuelense 1 - 1 Deportivo Saprissa Primera Divisi…
Jul 18, 2024 Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 3 LD Alajuelense Recopa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Deportivo Saprissa Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.