UEFA Champions League · Apr 18, 2023 19:00
Napoli
PWR 40
AC Milan
PWR 45
Napoli
PWR 40
1 - 1
FT
AC Milan
PWR 45
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Napoli to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1-1 (5%)
1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack50
Defense78
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Napoli Form
DLLWL
STABLE
AC Milan Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS61%
Under 2.532%
Napoli Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
AC Milan Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Napolivs
1.02
AC MilanDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Napoli+16
Gap#41
AC Milan
WR 21% 13 pts
WR 40% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| AC Milan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Napoli
6.0%
| Apr 15 | Napoli v Verona | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Napoli v AC Milan | 0-4 |
| Mar 11 | Napoli v Atalanta | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Napoli v Lazio | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Napoli v Sassuolo | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Napoli v Cremone… | 3-0 |
| Jan 29 | Napoli v AS Roma | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Napoli v Cremone… | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Napoli v Juventus | 5-1 |
AC Milan
14.0%
| Apr 15 | AC Milan v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | AC Milan v Napoli | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | AC Milan v Napoli | 0-4 |
| Mar 04 | AC Milan v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | AC Milan v Torino | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | AC Milan v Sassuolo | 2-5 |
| Jan 24 | AC Milan v Lazio | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | AC Milan v Lecce | 2-2 |
| Jan 11 | AC Milan v Torino | 0-1 |
| Nov 13 | AC Milan v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 12, 2023 | AC Milan | 1-0 | Napoli |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Napoli | 0-4 | AC Milan |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AC Milan | 1-2 | Napoli |
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
Napoli struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.