Predictions Match Details
Serie A · Feb 11, 2024 19:45

AC Milan
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT

Napoli
PWR 40
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AC Milan to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense78
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
AC Milan Form WDDWW
STABLE
Napoli Form WWDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS17%
Under 2.549%
AC Milan Goals
0
6%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Napoli Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
AC Milan
vs
0.20
Napoli
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings56%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
AC Milan
+1
Gap
#3
Napoli
WR 64% 50 pts WR 50% 49 pts
AC Milan 16.0%
Feb 03 AC Milan v Frosino… 2-3
Jan 27 AC Milan v Bologna 2-2
Jan 27 AC Milan v Bologna 2-2
Jan 20 AC Milan v Udinese 2-3
Jan 14 AC Milan v AS Roma 3-1
Jan 14 AC Milan v AS Roma 3-1
Jan 10 AC Milan v Atalanta 1-2
Jan 07 AC Milan v Empoli 0-3
Jan 02 AC Milan v Cagliari 4-1
Dec 30 AC Milan v Sassuolo 1-0
Napoli 12.0%
Feb 04 Napoli v Verona 2-1
Feb 04 Napoli v Verona 2-1
Jan 28 Napoli v Lazio 0-0
Jan 28 Napoli v Lazio 0-0
Jan 22 Napoli v Inter 0-1
Jan 18 Napoli v Fiorent… 3-0
Jan 13 Napoli v Salerni… 2-1
Jan 07 Napoli v Torino 3-0
Dec 29 Napoli v Monza 0-0
Dec 23 Napoli v AS Roma 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 29, 2023 Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Apr 18, 2023 Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
Apr 12, 2023 AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Apr 02, 2023 Napoli 0-4 AC Milan
Sep 18, 2022 AC Milan 1-2 Napoli
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.