AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Dec 21, 2025

LD Alajuelense

Home
VS
01:00

Deportivo Saprissa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
LD Alajuelense Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Deportivo Saprissa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.31 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
LD Alajuelense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
LD Alajuelense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 LD Alajue… vs Deportivo… 2-2
Dec 14 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 3-0
Dec 11 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-1
Dec 07 LD Alajue… vs Inter San… 0-2
Nov 30 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-2
Nov 27 LD Alajue… vs Xelajú 1-1
Nov 23 LD Alajue… vs Sporting … 2-0
Nov 21 LD Alajue… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Nov 03 LD Alajue… vs Municipal… 1-4
Oct 31 LD Alajue… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Deportivo Saprissa Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 2-2
Dec 14 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 2-1
Dec 12 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 1-2
Dec 06 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-0
Nov 30 Deportivo… vs Municipal… 3-1
Nov 23 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 1-1
Nov 02 Deportivo… vs Guadalupe… 1-3
Oct 26 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 2-1
Oct 20 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 2-0
Oct 16 Deportivo… vs Inter San… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Deportivo Saprissa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2025 Deportivo Saprissa 2 - 2 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2025 LD Alajuelense 2 - 0 Deportivo Saprissa Primera Divisi…
Aug 31, 2025 Deportivo Saprissa 0 - 1 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
May 22, 2025 LD Alajuelense 1 - 0 Deportivo Saprissa Primera Divisi…
May 18, 2025 Deportivo Saprissa 3 - 3 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Apr 22, 2025 LD Alajuelense 1 - 1 Deportivo Saprissa Primera Divisi…
Feb 09, 2025 Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 1 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Nov 03, 2024 Deportivo Saprissa 3 - 0 LD Alajuelense Primera Divisi…
Sep 01, 2024 LD Alajuelense 1 - 1 Deportivo Saprissa Primera Divisi…
Jul 18, 2024 Deportivo Saprissa 1 - 3 LD Alajuelense Recopa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
LD Alajuelense Power 0
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

LD Alajuelense Position

+2

Position Gap

6

Deportivo Saprissa Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.