AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League May 03, 2023

Ludogorets Razgrad

Home
VS
17:30

Beroe

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Beroe Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.50 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-1
Nov 26 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-2
Oct 30 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 3-1
Oct 17 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-4
Jul 08 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-3
Apr 17 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 4-1
Apr 09 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-1
Feb 26 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 3-1
Oct 31 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 2-0
May 04 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 3-1
Beroe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 0-4
Mar 31 Beroe vs Septemvri… 1-3
Mar 18 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 1-3
Mar 04 Beroe vs Septemvri… 1-2
Feb 18 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Dec 02 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 0-2
Oct 17 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 0-4
Sep 09 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 3-1
Sep 04 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 4-0
Aug 21 Beroe vs Septemvri… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Beroe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2022 Beroe 0 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Apr 09, 2022 Beroe 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Oct 31, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 0 Beroe First League
May 04, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 3 - 1 Beroe First League
Mar 07, 2021 Beroe 1 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Beroe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Beroe Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.