AI Match Insights

W-League Jan 21, 2021

Adelaide United Women

Home
VS
08:05

Melbourne City Women

Away
AI Predictions 60.0% Confidence
Adelaide United Women Win
60.0%
Draw
22.0%
Melbourne City Women Win
18.0%
Home Win (60% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.30 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Adelaide United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Adelaide United Women Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Jan 09 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 30 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 4-3
Melbourne City Women Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 03 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Dec 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Adelaide United Women Power 0
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Adelaide United Women Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Melbourne City Women Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.