AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Jan 11, 2023

Adelaide United Women

Home
VS
08:00

Melbourne City Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Adelaide United Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Melbourne City Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.23 - 1.50
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Adelaide United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 0-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Adelaide United Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 0-2
Dec 31 Adelaide … vs Newcastle… 2-0
Dec 17 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 0-1
Dec 11 Adelaide … vs Western S… 0-1
Nov 27 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 0-1
Nov 20 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Mar 13 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 1-2
Mar 06 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Feb 26 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 3-0
Feb 18 Adelaide … vs Wellingto… 1-4
Melbourne City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 08 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-0
Dec 27 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-4
Dec 10 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 5-1
Dec 03 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Nov 20 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-4
Mar 20 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Mar 11 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 4-2
Mar 06 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-2
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Adelaide United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2022 Adelaide United Wom… 0 - 1 Melbourne City Women W-League
Dec 18, 2021 Melbourne City Women 3 - 1 Adelaide United Wom… W-League
Jan 21, 2021 Adelaide United Wom… 2 - 1 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Adelaide United Women Power 0
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Adelaide United Women Position

-4

Position Gap

1

Melbourne City Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.