AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga I Oct 18, 2024

Universitatea Craiova

Home
VS
18:00

Oţelul

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Universitatea Craiova Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Oţelul Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.21 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universitatea Craiova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Oţelul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Universitatea Craiova Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Universit… vs Unirea Sl… 2-2
Oct 05 Universit… vs Oţelul 1-1
Sep 30 Universit… vs Unirea Sl… 3-0
Sep 16 Universit… vs Rapid 0-2
Sep 02 Universit… vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Aug 31 Universit… vs Rapid 1-1
Aug 19 Universit… vs Sepsi OSK… 3-0
Aug 12 Universit… vs Petrolul … 0-0
Aug 04 Universit… vs Petrolul … 0-0
Jul 29 Universit… vs Uta Arad 0-0
Oţelul Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-1
Sep 28 Oţelul vs Rapid 0-0
Sep 20 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-1
Jul 15 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 2-3
May 19 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-2
May 12 Oţelul vs FC Botosa… 2-0
Apr 21 Oţelul vs Universit… 1-0
Apr 18 Oţelul vs Universit… 2-1
Apr 08 Oţelul vs Dinamo Bu… 1-0
Apr 04 Oţelul vs Universit… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universitatea Craiova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
May 19, 2024 Oţelul 0 - 2 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 21, 2024 Oţelul 1 - 0 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Apr 18, 2024 Oţelul 2 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Cupa României
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Cupa României
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 1 Oţelul Liga I
Nov 26, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 3 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Aug 12, 2023 Oţelul 1 - 1 Universitatea Craio… Liga I
Jul 24, 2023 Universitatea Craio… 0 - 0 Oţelul Liga I
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universitatea Craiova to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universitatea Craiova Power 0
Oţelul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Universitatea Craiova Position

+8

Position Gap

9

Oţelul Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 23%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.