Copa Colombia · Dec 14, 2025 00:29

Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
1-0
predicted

Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Atlético Nacional to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense73
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack44
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Atlético Nacio… Form DLWLD
STABLE
Independiente … Form DWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS31%
Under 2.561%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Independien… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Atlético Nacio…
vs
0.46
Independiente …
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Atlético Na…
+2
Gap
#4
Independien…
WR 55% 44 pts WR 45% 31 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Atlético Nacion…221282361744
Independiente M…20947251931
Atlético Nacio… 8.0%
Dec 13 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Dec 08 Atlétic… v America… 3-2
Dec 04 Atlétic… v Indepen… 2-1
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlétic… v Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlétic… v America… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlétic… v Rionegr… 2-1
Independiente … 8.0%
Dec 13 Indepen… v Atlétic… 0-0
Dec 08 Indepen… v Junior 2-1
Dec 04 Indepen… v Atlétic… 2-1
Dec 02 Indepen… v America… 1-1
Nov 27 Indepen… v America… 2-1
Nov 23 Indepen… v Atlétic… 0-0
Nov 20 Indepen… v Junior 1-0
Nov 14 Indepen… v America… 3-0
Nov 11 Indepen… v Envigado 1-1
Nov 07 Indepen… v Deporti… 1-4
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 13, 2025 Atlético Naci… 0-0 Independiente…
Dec 04, 2025 Atlético Naci… 2-1 Independiente…
Nov 23, 2025 Independiente… 0-0 Atlético Naci…
Oct 26, 2025 Atlético Naci… 5-2 Independiente…
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente… 3-3 Atlético Naci…
May 04, 2025 Independiente… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.