FAW Championship · Jan 10, 2026 14:00
Gresford Athletic
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT
Penrhyncoch
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Gresford Athle… Form WDLLD
STABLE
Penrhyncoch Form DWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS47%
Under 2.536%
Gresford At… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Penrhyncoch Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Gresford Athle…
vs
0.66
Penrhyncoch
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings59%
Market41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Gresford At…
+1
Gap
#15
Penrhyncoch
WR 33% 19 pts WR 9% 14 pts
Gresford Athle… 8.0%
Jan 01 Gresfor… v Denbigh… 2-3
Dec 27 Gresfor… v Brickfi… 1-1
Dec 13 Gresfor… v Bala To… 4-0
Dec 10 Gresfor… v Buckley… 6-4
Nov 29 Gresfor… v Rhyl 2-2
Nov 22 Gresfor… v Penrhiw… 0-3
Nov 15 Gresfor… v Holyhea… 3-0
Nov 08 Gresfor… v Caersws 3-1
Oct 31 Gresfor… v Newtown… 1-2
Oct 25 Gresfor… v Brickfi… 1-1
Penrhyncoch 12.0%
Dec 31 Penrhyn… v Ruthin … 1-1
Dec 27 Penrhyn… v Guilsfi… 0-1
Dec 05 Penrhyn… v Newtown… 1-1
Nov 29 Penrhyn… v Buckley… 6-0
Nov 22 Penrhyn… v Caernar… 4-0
Nov 08 Penrhyn… v Brickfi… 4-1
Nov 01 Penrhyn… v Rhyl 3-1
Oct 25 Penrhyn… v Flint M… 1-4
Oct 11 Penrhyn… v Holywell 4-1
Sep 27 Penrhyn… v Llandud… 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Oct 26, 2024 Gresford Athl… 1-1 Penrhyncoch
Aug 17, 2024 Penrhyncoch 2-4 Gresford Athl…
Apr 15, 2023 Gresford Athl… 3-2 Penrhyncoch
Jul 30, 2022 Penrhyncoch 1-0 Gresford Athl…
Apr 09, 2022 Gresford Athl… 4-2 Penrhyncoch
Nov 06, 2021 Penrhyncoch 2-1 Gresford Athl…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.