FAW Championship · Feb 07, 2026 14:00
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 55
Baglan Dragons
PWR 46
PWR 46
2-1
predicted
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 55
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Baglan Dragons to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
POINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Weak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (32.0%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense62
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack46
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Baglan Dragons Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Aberystwyth To… Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.549%
BTTS54%
Under 2.551%
Baglan Drag… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Aberystwyth… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Baglan Dragonsvs
1.38
Aberystwyth To…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market39%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#19
Baglan Drag…+7
Gap#26
Aberystwyth…
WR 29% 52 pts
WR 53% 33 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 51 | 45 | 52 |
| Aberystwyth Town | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 33 |
Baglan Dragons
8.0%
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Baglan … v Trethom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 28 | Baglan … v Ammanfo… | 0-3 |
| Nov 07 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 2-1 |
| Oct 31 | Baglan … v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
| Oct 24 | Baglan … v Treowen… | 3-4 |
| Oct 10 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 1-1 |
Aberystwyth To…
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Aberyst… v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Aberyst… v Cardiff… | 3-2 |
| Jan 01 | Aberyst… v Carmart… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Aberyst… v Pontypr… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Aberyst… v Caerau … | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Aberyst… v Cambria… | 1-2 |
| Nov 22 | Aberyst… v Ynyshir… | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Aberyst… v Trefelin | 0-2 |
| Nov 01 | Aberyst… v Trethom… | 2-3 |
| Oct 25 | Aberyst… v Newport… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Aberystwyth T… | 2-1 | Baglan Dragons |
Key Factors
Aberystwyth Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.