AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Sep 22, 2024

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:30

AVS

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
AVS Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 94%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.50 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0 Position gap: 16 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
AVS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sporting CP Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Sporting … vs Arouca 0-3
Aug 17 Sporting … vs Nacional 1-6
Aug 09 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 3-1
Aug 03 Sporting … vs FC Porto 3-4
Jul 27 Sporting … vs Athletic … 3-0
May 26 Sporting … vs FC Porto 2-1
May 18 Sporting … vs Chaves 3-0
May 11 Sporting … vs Estoril 0-1
May 04 Sporting … vs Portimone… 3-0
Apr 28 Sporting … vs FC Porto 2-2
AVS Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Sep 14 AVS vs Rio Ave FC 1-0
Aug 31 AVS vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Aug 25 AVS vs Guimaraes 1-0
Aug 25 AVS vs Guimaraes 1-0
Aug 16 AVS vs GIL Vicen… 4-2
Aug 16 AVS vs GIL Vicen… 4-2
Aug 10 AVS vs Nacional 1-1
Aug 10 AVS vs Nacional 1-1
Jun 02 AVS vs Portimone… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • AVS in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Sporting CP to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 16
Sporting CP Power 0
AVS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Sporting CP Position

+16

Position Gap

18

AVS Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.