AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Erovnuli Liga 2 Dec 11, 2025

Aragvi Dusheti

Home
VS
09:00

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Aragvi Dusheti Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.62 - 0.99
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aragvi Dusheti Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aragvi Dusheti Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Aragvi Du… vs Saburtalo… 0-1
Dec 12 Aragvi Du… vs Saburtalo… 2-2
Nov 30 Aragvi Du… vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Sep 26 Aragvi Du… vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Jul 31 Aragvi Du… vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Apr 22 Aragvi Du… vs Lokomotiv… 3-1
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 5-1
Nov 29 Lokomotiv… vs Paris FC 2-3
Nov 25 Lokomotiv… vs Saburtalo… 2-1
Nov 21 Lokomotiv… vs Sioni Bol… 3-4
Nov 08 Lokomotiv… vs Rustavi 5-1
Nov 03 Lokomotiv… vs Samtredia 1-0
Oct 26 Lokomotiv… vs Merani Ma… 1-1
Oct 21 Lokomotiv… vs Meshakhte 0-1
Oct 17 Lokomotiv… vs Gonio 2-1
Oct 05 Lokomotiv… vs Dinamo Tb… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aragvi Dusheti struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1 - 0 Aragvi Dusheti Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 26, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 1 - 1 Lokomotiv Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga 2
Jul 31, 2024 Lokomotiv Tbilisi 2 - 1 Aragvi Dusheti Erovnuli Liga 2
Apr 22, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 3 - 1 Lokomotiv Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aragvi Dusheti to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aragvi Dusheti Power 0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.