Predictions Match Details
League Cup · Jul 25, 2023 18:45

ST Johnstone
PWR 70
1 - 2
FT

Ayr Utd
PWR 57
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: ST Johnstone to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack77
Defense72
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack67
Defense62
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.1
ST Johnstone Form DWWDW
STABLE
Ayr Utd Form WLDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS21%
Under 2.570%
ST Johnstone Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Ayr Utd Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
ST Johnstone
vs
0.31
Ayr Utd
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
ST Johnstone
+6
Gap
#13
Ayr Utd
WR 60% 20 pts WR 40% 14 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
ST Johnstone1062222820
Ayr Utd10424191114
ST Johnstone 16.0%
Jul 04 ST John… v Dunferm… 1-1
Jul 23 ST John… v Ayr Utd 1-0
Jul 09 ST John… v Rangers… 3-2
Aug 15 ST John… v Arbroath 2-2
Jul 21 ST John… v Arbroath 1-4
Dec 15 ST John… v Dunferm… 1-1
Ayr Utd 12.0%
Jul 08 Ayr Utd v Stranra… 2-0
Mar 31 Ayr Utd v Arbroath 2-0
Jan 14 Ayr Utd v Arbroath 2-2
Oct 29 Ayr Utd v Arbroath 0-2
Jul 30 Ayr Utd v Arbroath 0-0
Jul 23 Ayr Utd v ST John… 1-0
Jun 25 Ayr Utd v Stranra… 2-1
Aug 14 Ayr Utd v Dundee … 1-1
Nov 14 Ayr Utd v Stranra… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jul 23, 2022 ST Johnstone 1-0 Ayr Utd
Key Factors
ST Johnstone in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.