AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Apr 19, 2025

Zurrieq

Home
VS
14:30

Santa LucĂ­a

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Zurrieq Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Santa LucĂ­a Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.92 - 1.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zurrieq Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Santa LucĂ­a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Zurrieq Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 Zurrieq vs Mgarr Uni… 0-2
Mar 02 Zurrieq vs Swieqi Un… 3-1
Feb 27 Zurrieq vs Swieqi Un… 3-2
Feb 15 Zurrieq vs Santa Luc… 3-6
Feb 09 Zurrieq vs Mgarr Uni… 1-1
Jan 19 Zurrieq vs Fgura Uni… 0-3
Jan 04 Zurrieq vs Santa Luc… 2-0
Nov 24 Zurrieq vs Marsa 1-0
Oct 26 Zurrieq vs Zebbug Ra… 1-0
Oct 19 Zurrieq vs Gudja Uni… 1-3
Santa LucĂ­a Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Santa Luc… vs Swieqi Un… 2-2
Mar 29 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 3-1
Feb 27 Santa Luc… vs Zebbug Ra… 2-2
Feb 15 Santa Luc… vs Zurrieq 3-6
Jan 04 Santa Luc… vs Zurrieq 2-0
Nov 02 Santa Luc… vs Zebbug Ra… 1-2
Sep 21 Santa Luc… vs Swieqi Un… 3-2
Sep 15 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 0-5
Feb 10 Santa Luc… vs Balzan FC 0-1
Jan 11 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zurrieq in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 15, 2025 Santa Lucía 3 - 6 Zurrieq Challenge Leag…
Jan 04, 2025 Santa Lucía 2 - 0 Zurrieq Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Zurrieq to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zurrieq Power 0
Santa LucĂ­a Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.