AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Oct 29, 2023

Tre Fiori

Home
VS
14:00

Cosmos

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tre Fiori Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cosmos Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 1.14
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Cosmos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Tre Fiori Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 0-0
Oct 22 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 3-3
Oct 04 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 0-3
Sep 27 Tre Fiori vs Faetano 2-2
Sep 23 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 0-1
Sep 16 Tre Fiori vs Virtus 0-1
May 03 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 1-1
Apr 29 Tre Fiori vs Libertas 2-1
Apr 23 Tre Fiori vs Cosmos 0-2
Apr 16 Tre Fiori vs La Fiorit… 1-0
Cosmos Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Cosmos vs La Fiorit… 1-1
Sep 30 Cosmos vs San Giova… 0-0
Sep 23 Cosmos vs Folgore 0-0
Sep 15 Cosmos vs Domagnano 4-1
May 20 Cosmos vs La Fiorit… 2-1
May 03 Cosmos vs Faetano 0-3
Apr 30 Cosmos vs Faetano 4-1
Apr 23 Cosmos vs Tre Fiori 0-2
Apr 15 Cosmos vs Folgore 5-0
Apr 01 Cosmos vs Virtus 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2023 Tre Fiori 0 - 2 Cosmos Campionato
Jan 15, 2023 Cosmos 1 - 1 Tre Fiori Campionato
Mar 06, 2022 Tre Fiori 0 - 0 Cosmos Campionato
Nov 21, 2021 Cosmos 0 - 5 Tre Fiori Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tre Fiori to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tre Fiori Power 0
Cosmos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Tre Fiori Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Cosmos Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.