First League · Feb 19, 2023 15:45

Ludogorets Razgrad
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT

CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
59% H 22% D 19% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Ludogorets Raz… Form WWWLW
UP
CSKA Sofia Form WLLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS55%
Under 2.542%
Ludogorets … Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CSKA Sofia Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Ludogorets Raz…
vs
0.98
CSKA Sofia
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Ludogorets …
+2
Gap
#5
CSKA Sofia
WR 56% 40 pts WR 30% 34 pts
Ludogorets Raz… 16.0%
Nov 26 Ludogor… v CSKA So… 1-2
Oct 30 Ludogor… v Septemv… 3-1
Oct 17 Ludogor… v Beroe 0-4
Oct 01 Ludogor… v Lokomot… 1-0
Jul 08 Ludogor… v Septemv… 0-3
Apr 17 Ludogor… v CSKA So… 4-1
Apr 09 Ludogor… v Beroe 0-1
Feb 26 Ludogor… v CSKA So… 3-1
Dec 05 Ludogor… v Lokomot… 2-4
Oct 31 Ludogor… v Beroe 2-0
CSKA Sofia 8.0%
Feb 18 CSKA So… v Botev P… 3-1
Nov 26 CSKA So… v Ludogor… 1-2
Nov 12 CSKA So… v CSKA So… 1-2
Nov 06 CSKA So… v Slavia … 2-2
Nov 06 CSKA So… v Lokomot… 0-0
Nov 01 CSKA So… v Lokomot… 0-1
Oct 28 CSKA So… v Arda Ka… 1-3
Oct 22 CSKA So… v CSKA 19… 1-1
Oct 12 CSKA So… v CSKA So… 2-1
Sep 03 CSKA So… v Slavia … 0-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Nov 26, 2022 CSKA Sofia 1-2 Ludogorets Ra…
Apr 17, 2022 Ludogorets Ra… 4-1 CSKA Sofia
Feb 26, 2022 Ludogorets Ra… 3-1 CSKA Sofia
Key Factors
Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.