AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Dec 29, 2024

Mantova

Home
VS
14:00

Reggiana 1919

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Mantova Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Reggiana 1919 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.48 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Mantova Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Mantova vs Spezia 1-1
Dec 21 Mantova vs Frosinone 3-1
Dec 14 Mantova vs Sudtirol 2-2
Dec 07 Mantova vs Pisa 2-3
Nov 30 Mantova vs Monza 0-0
Nov 23 Mantova vs Catanzaro 2-2
Nov 09 Mantova vs Cremonese 1-0
Nov 03 Mantova vs Sassuolo 1-0
Oct 30 Mantova vs Palermo 0-0
Oct 30 Mantova vs Palermo 0-0
Reggiana 1919 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Reggiana … vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Dec 26 Reggiana … vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Dec 21 Reggiana … vs Cittadella 3-1
Dec 14 Reggiana … vs Monza 0-1
Dec 08 Reggiana … vs Cremonese 0-2
Nov 29 Reggiana … vs Sassuolo 0-2
Nov 23 Reggiana … vs Cosenza 1-1
Nov 23 Reggiana … vs Cosenza 1-1
Nov 10 Reggiana … vs Catanzaro 2-2
Nov 10 Reggiana … vs Catanzaro 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Reggiana 1919 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Mantova Pro League
Aug 18, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Mantova Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mantova Power 28
Reggiana 1919 Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mantova Position

-3

Position Gap

15

Reggiana 1919 Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.