AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Dec 10, 2025

Aurora

Home
VS
20:00

Malacateco FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Aurora Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Malacateco FC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Aurora Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Nov 30 Aurora vs Mixco 1-0
Nov 22 Aurora vs Mictlán 4-0
Nov 16 Aurora vs XelajĂş 3-2
Nov 09 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Nov 05 Aurora vs Comunicac… 0-0
Nov 02 Aurora vs Cobán Imp… 2-0
Oct 26 Aurora vs Antigua G… 1-2
Oct 22 Aurora vs Mictlán 3-2
Oct 18 Aurora vs Achuapa 2-1
Malacateco FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Nov 30 Malacatec… vs Antigua G… 2-0
Nov 23 Malacatec… vs Comunicac… 2-0
Nov 15 Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… 0-1
Nov 09 Malacatec… vs Aurora 1-0
Nov 05 Malacatec… vs Achuapa 0-1
Nov 02 Malacatec… vs Marquense 2-1
Oct 25 Malacatec… vs Municipal 4-1
Oct 20 Malacatec… vs Guastatoya 0-1
Oct 12 Malacatec… vs Mixco 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Malacateco FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Aurora struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 Malacateco FC 1 - 0 Aurora Liga Nacional
Nov 09, 2025 Malacateco FC 1 - 0 Aurora Liga Nacional
Sep 07, 2025 Aurora 1 - 0 Malacateco FC Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aurora Power 0
Malacateco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Aurora Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Malacateco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.