AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Feb 16, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
01:00

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cruz Azul Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.26 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.7
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Tigres UANL Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 1-0
Jan 11 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-3
Dec 02 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 0-0
Nov 29 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 3-0
Nov 10 Tigres UA… vs Cruz Azul 1-1
Nov 07 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 2-1
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs León FC 2-2
Sep 14 Tigres UA… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 01 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-3
Jul 21 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-3
Cruz Azul Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-1
Jan 18 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 1-0
Jan 12 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 1-1
Nov 10 Cruz Azul vs Tigres UA… 1-1
Nov 07 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 2-2
Oct 27 Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. … 0-2
Oct 24 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 4-0
Oct 19 Cruz Azul vs Puebla 1-2
Sep 22 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Sep 15 Cruz Azul vs León FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.