AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Nov 04, 2022

FC Aarau

Home
VS
19:15

Yverdon Sport

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Yverdon Sport Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 40%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 0.99 - 1.70
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
FC Aarau Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 2-2
Sep 24 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Sep 17 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 3-2
Aug 20 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-0
May 28 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 2-1
May 21 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 0-3
May 06 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-4
Mar 26 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 0-3
Mar 19 FC Aarau vs Yverdon S… 0-2
Feb 12 FC Aarau vs Luzern Wo… 3-1
Yverdon Sport Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 4-0
Sep 30 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 2-2
Aug 12 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 1-3
Aug 05 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 2-3
Jul 15 Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
May 10 Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
May 06 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 0-4
Apr 30 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Mar 19 Yverdon S… vs FC Aarau 0-2
Mar 04 Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2022 Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
May 06, 2022 Yverdon Sport 0 - 4 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2022 FC Aarau 0 - 2 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Nov 06, 2021 FC Aarau 1 - 0 Yverdon Sport Challenge Leag…
Sep 10, 2021 Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
Yverdon Sport Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Yverdon Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.