AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League May 04, 2024

Murang'a SEAL

Home
VS
12:00

Gor Mahia

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Murang'a SEAL Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Gor Mahia Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.69 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Gor Mahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Murang'a SEAL Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 17 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 1-0
Feb 11 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 1-0
Dec 20 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 1-1
Dec 09 Murang'a … vs Ulinzi St… 1-1
Dec 03 Murang'a … vs Police 2-0
Nov 11 Murang'a … vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Oct 22 Murang'a … vs Bidco Uni… 0-0
May 28 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 0-0
Apr 02 Murang'a … vs AFC Leopa… 0-1
Feb 04 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 3-0
Gor Mahia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Gor Mahia vs AFC Leopa… 1-0
Apr 06 Gor Mahia vs Homeboyz 0-0
Mar 09 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 1-0
Feb 03 Gor Mahia vs Police 3-1
Jan 20 Gor Mahia vs Tusker 1-0
Jan 13 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 1-0
Dec 22 Gor Mahia vs Bandari 1-0
Dec 03 Gor Mahia vs Kariobang… 1-2
Nov 11 Gor Mahia vs Murang'a … 0-0
Nov 01 Gor Mahia vs Shabana 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 11, 2023 Gor Mahia 0 - 0 Murang'a SEAL FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Gor Mahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Murang'a SEAL Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Gor Mahia Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.