AI Match Insights
Ligat Ha'al Apr 15, 2024
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HomeVS
17:30
Maccabi Tel Aviv
AwayAI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
Home Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.02 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (30%)
2-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
88%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 07 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… | 1-0 |
| Apr 03 | Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Pe… | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ha… | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Ha… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Hapoel Be… vs Beitar Je… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… | 2-0 |
| Feb 03 | Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… | 2-1 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… | 2-0 |
| Apr 08 | Maccabi T… vs Maccabi H… | 1-1 |
| Apr 07 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Maccabi T… vs Maccabi H… | 1-2 |
| Mar 30 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 2-0 |
| Mar 17 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… | 3-1 |
| Mar 16 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Maccabi T… vs Maccabi H… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Maccabi T… vs Beitar Je… | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ka… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 07, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 06, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 - 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 - 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 - 6 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat… |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 - 0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 - 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power
0
Maccabi Tel Aviv Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Hapoel Beer Sheva Position+2
Position Gap3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.