AI Match Insights

Ligat Ha'al Sep 14, 2024

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Home
VS
17:30

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… 1-3
Aug 18 Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… 2-1
Aug 17 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ka… 0-0
Aug 11 Maccabi T… vs Ironi Kir… 2-0
Aug 04 Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… 2-1
Jul 31 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… 0-0
Jul 28 Maccabi T… vs Ironi Tib… 1-0
May 21 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… 0-3
May 21 Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… 2-2
May 18 Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Be… 3-0
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi K… 0-3
Sep 06 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Nes… 3-0
Sep 01 Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… 0-0
Aug 26 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Kir… 0-1
Aug 18 Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… 2-3
Jul 20 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 3-0
May 25 Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… 4-1
May 21 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… 1-4
May 18 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 3-0
May 09 Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 - 0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
May 09, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 - 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Apr 15, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Apr 07, 2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Feb 24, 2024 Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 0 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Jan 06, 2024 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 - 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Dec 20, 2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 - 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Sep 02, 2023 Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Hapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al
Jul 20, 2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 - 6 Maccabi Tel Aviv Toto Cup Ligat…
Feb 27, 2023 Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maccabi Tel Aviv to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maccabi Tel Aviv Power 0
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Maccabi Tel Aviv Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Hapoel Beer Sheva Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 64%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.