AI Match Insights
Ligat Ha'al Jan 01, 2025
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HomeVS
18:30
Maccabi Tel Aviv
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
38%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.59 - 2.41
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Beer Sheva Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1-3 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21 | Hapoel Be… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-0 |
| Dec 20 | Hapoel Be… vs Hapoel Mi… | 1-3 |
| Dec 14 | Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Kir… | 5-1 |
| Dec 10 | Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Bak… | 0-4 |
| Dec 09 | Hapoel Be… vs Beitar Je… | 4-1 |
| Dec 04 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi H… | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi N… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Hapoel Be… vs Ironi Tib… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Hapoel Be… vs Maccabi T… | 1-1 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 28 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ka… | 3-0 |
| Dec 26 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ka… | 3-0 |
| Dec 25 | Maccabi T… vs Maccabi H… | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ka… | 2-3 |
| Dec 08 | Maccabi T… vs Hapoel Ha… | 1-1 |
| Dec 05 | Maccabi T… vs Ironi Tib… | 1-0 |
| Nov 10 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-4 |
| Nov 09 | Maccabi T… vs Ashdod | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Maccabi T… vs Bnei Sakh… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Maccabi Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 - 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 18, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 09, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 - 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 - 0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 06, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 - 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 - 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 - 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Hapoel Beer Sheva Power
0
Maccabi Tel Aviv Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Hapoel Beer Sheva Position+2
Position Gap3
Maccabi Tel Aviv Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.