AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 08, 2023

Cagliari

Home
VS
16:00

AS Roma

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Cagliari Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
AS Roma Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.34 - 1.05
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cagliari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
AS Roma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Cagliari Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 Cagliari vs Fiorentina 3-0
Sep 27 Cagliari vs AC Milan 1-3
Sep 24 Cagliari vs Atalanta 2-0
Aug 21 Cagliari vs Torino 0-0
Apr 10 Cagliari vs Pisa 0-0
Mar 01 Cagliari vs Genoa 0-0
Nov 12 Cagliari vs Pisa 1-1
Oct 07 Cagliari vs Genoa 0-0
Apr 30 Cagliari vs Verona 1-2
Apr 24 Cagliari vs Genoa 1-0
AS Roma Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 AS Roma vs Genoa 4-1
Sep 24 AS Roma vs Torino 1-1
Sep 01 AS Roma vs AC Milan 1-2
Apr 24 AS Roma vs Atalanta 3-1
Apr 16 AS Roma vs Udinese 3-0
Apr 08 AS Roma vs Torino 0-1
Mar 12 AS Roma vs Sassuolo 3-4
Mar 05 AS Roma vs Juventus 1-0
Feb 11 AS Roma vs Lecce 1-1
Jan 29 AS Roma vs Napoli 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cagliari struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • AS Roma struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 16, 2022 AS Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari Serie A
Oct 27, 2021 Cagliari 1 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Apr 25, 2021 Cagliari 3 - 2 AS Roma Serie A
Dec 23, 2020 AS Roma 3 - 2 Cagliari Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cagliari Power 34
AS Roma Power 41
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Cagliari Position

-7

Position Gap

5

AS Roma Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 58%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.