Serie A · Mar 16, 2025 15:00
AS Roma
PWR 41
Cagliari
PWR 34
AS Roma
PWR 41
1 - 0
FT
Cagliari
PWR 34
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
AS Roma Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
82%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (16%)
3-0 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
HOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (4 rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense82
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Attack37
Defense60
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.3
AS Roma Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Cagliari Form
DLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS35%
Under 2.547%
AS Roma Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Cagliari Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
AS Romavs
0.48
CagliariDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
AS Roma+7
Gap#12
Cagliari
WR 64% 43 pts
WR 25% 28 pts
AS Roma
14.0%
| Mar 13 | AS Roma v Athleti… | 3-1 |
| Mar 13 | AS Roma v Sudan | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | AS Roma v Empoli | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | AS Roma v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | AS Roma v Como | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | AS Roma v Monza | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | AS Roma v FC Porto | 3-2 |
| Feb 16 | AS Roma v Parma | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | AS Roma v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Feb 09 | AS Roma v Venezia | 0-1 |
Cagliari
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Cagliari v Genoa | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Cagliari v Bologna | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Cagliari v Juventus | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 0-0 |
| Feb 09 | Cagliari v Parma | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Cagliari v Lazio | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Cagliari v Torino | 2-0 |
| Jan 19 | Cagliari v Lecce | 4-1 |
| Jan 11 | Cagliari v AC Milan | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Cagliari v Monza | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Aug 18, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Cagliari | 0-0 | AS Roma |
| Feb 05, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-0 | Cagliari |
| Feb 05, 2024 | AS Roma | 4-0 | Cagliari |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Cagliari | 1-4 | AS Roma |
| Jan 16, 2022 | AS Roma | 1-0 | Cagliari |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Cagliari | 1-2 | AS Roma |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Cagliari | 3-2 | AS Roma |
| Dec 23, 2020 | AS Roma | 3-2 | Cagliari |
Key Factors
AS Roma in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.